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ABSTRACT Precipitation in low latitudes is primarily controlled by the position of the intertropical convergence zone, which migrates from south to north seasonally. The Little Ice Age
(defined as AD 1400–1850) was associated with low solar irradiance and high atmospheric aerosol concentrations as a result of several large volcanic eruptions. The mean position of the
intertropical convergence zone over the western Pacific has been proposed to have shifted southwards during this interval, which would lead to relatively dry Little Ice Age conditions in the
northern extent of the intertropical convergence zone and wet conditions around its southern limit. However, here we present a synthesis of palaeo-hydrology records from the
Asian–Australian monsoon area that documents a rainfall distribution that distinctly violates the expected pattern. Our synthesis instead documents a synchronous retreat of the East Asian
Summer Monsoon and the Australian Summer Monsoon into the tropics during the Little Ice Age, a pattern supported by the results of our climate model simulation of tropical precipitation over
the past millennium. We suggest that this pattern over the western Pacific is best explained by a contraction in the latitudinal range over which the intertropical convergence zone
seasonally migrates during the Little Ice Age. We therefore propose that rather than a strict north–south migration, the intertropical convergence zone in this region may instead expand and
contract over decadal to centennial timescales in response to external forcing. Access through your institution Buy or subscribe This is a preview of subscription content, access via your
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* Learn about institutional subscriptions * Read our FAQs * Contact customer support SIMILAR CONTENT BEING VIEWED BY OTHERS GLOBAL WARMING-INDUCED ASIAN HYDROLOGICAL CLIMATE TRANSITION
ACROSS THE MIOCENE–PLIOCENE BOUNDARY Article Open access 26 November 2021 GLACIER FLUCTUATIONS IN THE NORTHERN PATAGONIAN ANDES (44°S) IMPLY WIND-MODULATED INTERHEMISPHERIC IN-PHASE CLIMATE
SHIFTS DURING TERMINATION 1 Article Open access 27 June 2022 MIDDLE PLEISTOCENE RE-ORGANIZATION OF AUSTRALIAN MONSOON Article Open access 10 April 2023 REFERENCES * Chiang, J. C. & Bitz,
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Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control_ Vol. 16 (Holden-Day, 1976). Google Scholar Download references ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Financial support for this research was provided by the Ministry of
Science and Technology of China, the Natural Science Foundation of China (41403018) and the Chinese Academy of Science. AUTHOR INFORMATION AUTHORS AND AFFILIATIONS * State Key Laboratory of
Loess and Quaternary Geology, Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xi’an 710061, China Hong Yan, Zhisheng An, Weijian Zhou & Yuhong Wang * Joint Center for
Global Change Studies (JCGS), Beijing 100875, China Hong Yan, Zhisheng An & Weijian Zhou * The Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Bremerhaven
27570, Germany Wei Wei * Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02138, USA Willie Soon * Department of Earth Sciences, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong,
China Zhonghui Liu * Institute of Public Affairs, Melbourne, Victoria 3000, Australia Robert M. Carter Authors * Hong Yan View author publications You can also search for this author
inPubMed Google Scholar * Wei Wei View author publications You can also search for this author inPubMed Google Scholar * Willie Soon View author publications You can also search for this
author inPubMed Google Scholar * Zhisheng An View author publications You can also search for this author inPubMed Google Scholar * Weijian Zhou View author publications You can also search
for this author inPubMed Google Scholar * Zhonghui Liu View author publications You can also search for this author inPubMed Google Scholar * Yuhong Wang View author publications You can
also search for this author inPubMed Google Scholar * Robert M. Carter View author publications You can also search for this author inPubMed Google Scholar CONTRIBUTIONS H.Y. designed the
study and wrote the manuscript. W.W. contributed to the section discussing climate model results. W.S. contributed significantly to improvements in the manuscript. Z.A., W.Z. and Z.L.
contributed to discussion of the results and manuscript refinement. Y.W. and R.M.C. contributed to improving the English. CORRESPONDING AUTHOR Correspondence to Hong Yan. ETHICS DECLARATIONS
COMPETING INTERESTS The authors declare no competing financial interests. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION Supplementary Information (PDF 1283 kb) RIGHTS AND PERMISSIONS
Reprints and permissions ABOUT THIS ARTICLE CITE THIS ARTICLE Yan, H., Wei, W., Soon, W. _et al._ Dynamics of the intertropical convergence zone over the western Pacific during the Little
Ice Age. _Nature Geosci_ 8, 315–320 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2375 Download citation * Received: 16 June 2014 * Accepted: 29 January 2015 * Published: 09 March 2015 * Issue Date:
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