J. D. Vance’s past attacks on trump aren’t hypocrisy. They’re his main argument.

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Donald Trump and J.D. Vance at the RNC.Nate Gowdy/Mother Jones Get your news from a source that’s not owned and controlled by oligarchs. Sign up for the free _Mother Jones Daily_. In the


days when the nation’s confused liberals and bereft neocons wanted to understand the rise of Donald Trump with empathy—but without challenging too many assumptions about power structures—a


respectable, moneyed, beardless man with a perfect story appeared. In the pages of the _Atlantic_, at various Washington, DC, think tank gatherings, and in monologues with earnest


journalists on television, J.D. Vance called Trump “America’s Hitler,” a “moral disaster,” and a “total fraud.” But he drew a sharp distinction between the victorious candidate and his


supporters: the evil of Trump did not make his voters bad people. Vance _knew_ those voters. In fact, he could have been one of them—until, thank god, he broke away. In this way, Vance’s


best-seller, _Hillbilly Elegy_, offered a roadmap to Trumpism without Trump for (and I am adopting the language that’s always been part of his pitch) “liberal elites.” With his hardscrabble


background, military service, an advanced degree from Yale, and a career in the tech’s venture capital sector, Vance could code-switch from the voice of a heartfelt op-ed about his childhood


to the language of new oligarchs in California pitching start-ups for the heartland, back when they still had the Obama-era glow of conscious capitalism. Vance appeared to have


authentically lived all the steps on the ladder of the American dream and he begged liberals to listen. “The great tragedy is that many of the problems Trump identifies are real,” Vance


wrote in the _Atlantic _in 2016. The president saw the poverty Vance did. But his solutions did not suffice, or follow the cultural framework offered in _Hillbilly Elegy_. “Cultural heroin,”


Vance called Trump. “He makes some feel better for a bit. But he cannot fix what ails.” It is easy to think now after watching Vance take the reins as Trump’s vice presidential pick that


something has changed. “America’s Hitler’s” running mate is quite the shift. But the hypocrisy frame overlooks what should be a much scarier possibility for liberal elites: That Vance’s


conversion is genuine. The idea that a Yale Law graduate who wrote a book that many liberals liked as much as _Hillbilly Elegy_ could love Trump appears too scary for many to countenance. It


makes MAGA into an ideology whose purchase could soon expand and be executed far more competently. To see Vance as a 2004 version of John Kerry flip-flopping in the wind is more likely than


not a self-comforting delusion. In this way, Vance’s past hatred of Trump becomes an asset. Trump wants to show people that liberals were bent out of shape, and he is not that bad. And when


you get past the unnecessary yelling about Trump, his agenda is what America needs. To prove it? His running mate in 2024 is one of the people who was used to yell Trump was too dangerous


the loudest. As the vice presidential nominee, Vance is now tasked with doing the same thing he did in 2016 in his rise to prominence: explaining to the unhappy elites that Trump has been


misunderstood. And his flip on Trump is the perfect vehicle because it allows the GOP’s vice presidential nominee to explain his betrayal as a Paul-on-the-road-to-Damascus kind of


revelation. (As a fellow Catholic, I cannot help but feel a kinship here.) It allows him to say that he, the apostate of the establishment, has seen the way liberals speak behind closed


doors, and he has broken from their lies. I was blind, but now I see. For a fuller understanding of this strategy, look at how Vance spoke to _New York Times _columnist Ross Douthat, the


ur-intellectual conservative. Vance never apologizes for his previous dislike of Trump. Instead, like so many readers of the_ New York Times, _he was brainwashed by the liberal regime. He


sees now, finally, that Trump is a vulgar, but important messenger. “I was confronted with the reality that part of the reason the anti-Trump conservatives hated Donald Trump,” he said, “was


that he represented a threat to a way of doing things in this country that has been very good for them.” Vance sees this as a war being waged _within the right_ as much as a broader


cultural battle against leftists attempting to tear down Western thought. Yes, Vance notes, Trump wasn’t his taste—but he opened up room for debate. As the Trump administration unfolded,


Vance realized, “The more complete truth is that the country never really litigated the mistakes_ _of the bipartisan consensus until Donald Trump came along, and on the right, nobody had


litigated the failures of George W. Bush until Donald Trump came along.” Vance’s strength won’t be tallying votes or swinging a state. Instead, as Ezra Klein noted on a recent podcast, he


speaks to an intellectual battle about what it means for the (mostly theoretical shift) of the right towards a party that has a Teamster president speak at their convention. “Like a lot of


other elite conservatives and elite liberals, I allowed myself to focus so much on the stylistic element of Trump,” Vance told Douthat, “I completely ignored the way in which he


substantively was offering something very different on foreign policy, on trade, on immigration.” Is Vance’s change real? It is bullshit? Yes and yes. Vance really does vote a bit


differently on foreign policy, and especially differently on US funding for Ukraine’s war with Russia, of which he has been a vocal and persistent critic. He really did push for a bipartisan


piece of legislation with Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio) to reform rail safety. (Okay, just one bipartisan piece of legislation.) This may look pathetic compared to the bonafides of your


average Democrat, for whom visiting a UAW picket line once is not notable unless you’re president. But it is also different from most other Republican lawmakers. What is important in these


gestures is not that Vance appeals to actual working-class voters. It is that he appeals to elites who _want to believe _they are helping the working class by voting for Trump. Vance knows


this. In the _Times_ explanation of how he became the VP pick, we are told “[he] said he wanted to make an intellectual argument for Mr. Trump that would resonate with the donor class and


other elites, according to a person briefed on the exchanges.” That strategy has worked. Apparently, Vance was Elon Musk’s pick. The same day as the official announcement, Musk launched a


massive money machine committed to spending $45 million a month for Trump’s campaign. Who cares if Musk is fundamentally anti-union and Vance is theoretically going to bring unionism to the


Republican party? Vance has convinced several very rich Silicon Valley people to donate to Trump and the media to debate whether he is changing the GOP into a working-class party. Vance uses


his life to attempt what Trump and his acolytes envision for his campaign and second term: For conservatives disgusted by the Trump rhetoric, and for moderates who felt freaked out by the


George Floyd protests, to realize that the 45th president’s _intellectual project_ is worthwhile. Vance is clearly invested in it. He is not someone who just went to Trump for power. He has


demonstrated often he has done the reading: unnecessarily invoking the de-Ba’athification of the administrative state, or opining on the reign of Charles De Gaulle. When Vance name-drops


Nazi jurist Carl Schmidt in interviews, you know the man has read the canon of the New Right. He seems to believe that he has found in his own candidacy the possibility of realignment to


turn the GOP’s intellectual tradition into his own story—the one from Never-Trumper to a campaign ad asking “Are you a racist?” You’ll hear Vance touted as turning the party towards the


working class. That’s not it. He is, instead, the perfect vehicle to help Republicans pitch Trumpism to a lot of rich people who want to believe that it takes real intellectual heft to


change one’s mind about Trump, and by voting for him at last, they will be helping poor white people in ways they never dreamed possible. Everyone will be forgiven. And everything will be


redeemed. You could even say, made great again.