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ABSTRACT There is a rapidly unfolding sand supply crisis in meeting growing material needs for infrastructure. We find a ~45% increase in global building sand use from 2020 to 2060 under a
middle-of-the-road baseline scenario, with a 300% increase across low-and-lower-middle-income regions and a slight decrease in higher-income regions. Half of this demand may be avoidable
using several material efficiency strategies in concert. International cooperation is essential for addressing vulnerabilities and inequalities. Access through your institution Buy or
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STOCKS IN CHINA BASED ON GEOGRAPHICAL AND GEOMETRIC CONFIGURATIONS OF THE BUILT-ENVIRONMENT Article Open access 20 December 2023 DEVELOPMENT PATTERNS, MATERIAL METABOLISM, AND GREENHOUSE GAS
EMISSIONS OF HIGH-SPEED RAILWAY IN CHINA Article Open access 06 September 2023 GLOBAL GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS FROM RESIDENTIAL AND COMMERCIAL BUILDING MATERIALS AND MITIGATION STRATEGIES
TO 2060 Article Open access 21 October 2021 DATA AVAILABILITY This research relies entirely on publicly available data as referenced. We have also deposited them in the Zenodo repository21
in a form that can be easily used with our model code. Source data are provided with this paper. CODE AVAILABILITY The python code of the building sand model is publicly available from the
Zenodo repository21. REFERENCES * _Global Material Resources Outlook to 2060_ (OECD, 2019). * Hertwich, E. et al. _Resource Efficiency and Climate Change: Material Efficiency Strategies for
a Low-Carbon Future_ (UNEP, 2020). * Huang, B. et al. Building material use and associated environmental impacts in China 2000–2015. _Environ. Sci. Technol._ 52, 14006–14014 (2018). Article
CAS Google Scholar * Zhong, X. et al. Global greenhouse gas emissions from residential and commercial building materials and mitigation strategies to 2060. _Nat. Commun._ 12, 6126
(2021). Article CAS Google Scholar * Ioannidou, D., Nikias, V., Brière, R., Zerbi, S. & Habert, G. Land-cover-based indicator to assess the accessibility of resources used in the
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population during the 20th century. _Ecol. Econ._ 68, 2696–2705 (2009). Article Google Scholar * Ioannidou, D., Sonnemann, G. & Suh, S. Do we have enough natural sand for low‐carbon
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Rivers_ (WWF International, 2018). * _Sand and Sustainability: Finding New Solutions for Environmental Governance of Global Sand Resources_ (UNEP, 2019). * Stehfest, E., van Vuuren, D.,
Bouwman, L. & Kram, T. _Integrated Assessment of Global Environmental Change with IMAGE 3.0: Model Description and Policy Applications_ (Environmental Assessment Agency, 2014). *
Deetman, S. et al. Modelling global material stocks and flows for residential and service sector buildings towards 2050. _J. Clean. Prod._ 245, 118658 (2020). * Sverdrup, H. U., Koca, D.
& Schlyter, P. A simple system dynamics model for the global production rate of sand, gravel, crushed rock and stone, market prices and long-term supply embedded into the WORLD6 model.
_BioPhys. Econ. Resour. Qual._ 2, 8 (2017). Article Google Scholar * Bendixen, M. et al. Promises and perils of sand exploitation in Greenland. _Nat. Sustain._ 2, 98–104 (2019). Article
Google Scholar * Kirthika S., Singh, S. & Chourasia, A. Alternative fine aggregates in production of sustainable concrete—a review. _J. Clean. Prod_. 268, 122089 (2020). * Den Hertog,
J. A. _Review of Economic Theories of Regulation_ (Tjalling C. Koopmans Research Institute, 2010). * Pauliuk, S. & Heeren, N. ODYM—An open software framework for studying dynamic
material systems: principles, implementation, and data structures. _J. Ind. Ecol_. 24, 446–458 (2020). * Marinova, S., Deetman, S., van der Voet, E. & Daioglou, V. Global construction
materials database and stock analysis of residential buildings between 1970–2050. _J. Clean. Prod_. 247, 119146 (2019). * Zhong, X., Deetman, S., Tukker, A. & Behrens, P. Increasing
material efficiencies of buildings to address the global sand crisis, GloBus (v1.0). _Zenodo_ https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5897264 (2022). Download references ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS X.Z.
acknowledges the support of the China Scholarship Council (grant no. 201806050096). AUTHOR INFORMATION AUTHORS AND AFFILIATIONS * Institute of Environmental Sciences (CML), Leiden
University, Leiden, the Netherlands Xiaoyang Zhong, Sebastiaan Deetman, Arnold Tukker & Paul Behrens * Copernicus Institute for Sustainable Development, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the
Netherlands Sebastiaan Deetman * Netherlands Organization for Applied Scientific Research TNO, The Hague, the Netherlands Arnold Tukker Authors * Xiaoyang Zhong View author publications You
can also search for this author inPubMed Google Scholar * Sebastiaan Deetman View author publications You can also search for this author inPubMed Google Scholar * Arnold Tukker View author
publications You can also search for this author inPubMed Google Scholar * Paul Behrens View author publications You can also search for this author inPubMed Google Scholar CONTRIBUTIONS
X.Z. and P.B. designed the research. X.Z. and S.D. developed the model and collected the data. X.Z. performed the analysis. X.Z. and P.B. drafted the manuscript. A.T. and S.D. contributed to
reviewing and editing. CORRESPONDING AUTHOR Correspondence to Xiaoyang Zhong. ETHICS DECLARATIONS COMPETING INTERESTS The authors declare no competing interests. PEER REVIEW PEER REVIEW
INFORMATION _Nature Sustainability_ thanks Zhi Cao and Chris Hackney for their contribution to the peer review of this work. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PUBLISHER’S NOTE Springer Nature remains
neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION Supplementary methods, discussion, Figs.
1–5, Tables 1–6 and references. REPORTING SUMMARY SOURCE DATA SOURCE DATA FIG. 1 Data behind Fig. 1. SOURCE DATA FIG. 2 Data behind Fig. 2. RIGHTS AND PERMISSIONS Reprints and permissions
ABOUT THIS ARTICLE CITE THIS ARTICLE Zhong, X., Deetman, S., Tukker, A. _et al._ Increasing material efficiencies of buildings to address the global sand crisis. _Nat Sustain_ 5, 389–392
(2022). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-022-00857-0 Download citation * Received: 01 September 2021 * Accepted: 02 February 2022 * Published: 24 March 2022 * Issue Date: May 2022 * DOI:
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